Today Is Super Tuesday: Why That’s a Big Deal

If you’ve caught wind of the 2020 Presidential Election cycle, you might have heard that today is Super Tuesday. This means that over thirty percent of the delegates that candidates need to become the Democratic nominee for President are up for grabs.

On Super Tuesday, the rush of people looking for information on the primaries is likely to overload 5G networks and send cable pundits scrambling for information.

Super Tuesday map, with states voting on Tuesday colored in blue
Politico

So what exactly is Super Tuesday? Simply put, Super Tuesday is the day when the largest number of states hold their primaries.

The date of Super Tuesday changes across election cycles. And while early leads in states like Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina can be pivotal, it’s often Super Tuesday that makes or breaks a candidate’s bid for president.

What Might Happen?

There are two likely scenarios that could play out for Super Tuesday, and two unlikely scenarios that would be quite messy.

The first two, and most likely:

  • Progressive frontrunner Bernie Sanders snags the majority of Tuesday’s delegates and delivers a knockout blow to Biden’s campaign
  • The reverse happens: moderate former vice president Joe Biden takes the lead

Biden is overwhelmingly unpopular among younger voters. Sanders rides a wave of populist, grass-roots support. However, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg both just endorsed Biden. They are both fellow moderates who dropped out mere hours before polls opened.

Buttigieg, who dropped out on Sunday, was an upstart candidate with a surprising early tie in Iowa with Sanders. Klobuchar, meanwhile, suspended her campaign Monday after Black Lives Matter protests interrupted her rally.

Other Potential Scenarios

Progressive candidate Elizabeth Warren is still in the race, which has baffled many Sanders supporters. They now view her campaign as a spoiler to the Sanders campaign.

So here’s another possibility:

  • Warren bleeds votes off of Sanders
  • Former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg takes votes from Biden
  • No candidate receives the number of delegates they need to secure the Democratic nomination

In such a scenario, there would be a brokered convention in the summer when the DNC convenes. This would cause the party to go to controversial “superdelegates,” Democratic lawmakers in high positions of power in the party, to decide on the nominee.

Should this scenario award the nomination to a moderate candidate like Biden, it is likely that Sanders supporters, who already feel as though their candidate was “robbed” of the nomination in 2016, wouldn’t forgive the DNC in time for the general election in November.

Needless to say, Tuesday’s numerous contests will be interesting to see unfold.